Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 3.301608 3.867593 4.519770 5.331076 6.319115 7.490713 8.996098
2025-01-12 2.497935 3.218622 4.149075 5.456721 7.276672 9.764775 13.502808
2025-01-19 2.017202 2.757702 3.784838 5.347535 7.726313 11.316242 17.355197
2025-01-26 1.822056 2.619460 3.795873 5.714929 8.881515 14.117620 23.930374
2025-02-02 1.645407 2.465719 3.739694 5.944610 9.846337 16.843391 31.319026
2025-02-09 1.514993 2.355284 3.721549 6.216820 10.927519 20.049506 40.828106
2025-02-16 1.377169 2.208575 3.614261 6.303661 11.678038 22.827265 50.579213
2025-02-23 1.267554 2.091343 3.535152 6.419863 12.503615 25.991753 62.646828
2025-03-02 1.150505 1.944346 3.378884 6.354015 12.930501 28.397461 73.925387
2025-03-09 1.073070 1.857625 3.319757 6.469577 13.778440 32.066275 90.723851
2025-03-16 0.985720 1.741445 3.187210 6.405046 14.193409 34.776877 106.127248
2025-03-23 0.912202 1.642719 3.075338 6.364876 14.658116 37.784536 124.442850
2025-03-30 0.825038 1.518086 2.915836 6.241531 15.030180 41.131676 148.542229
2025-04-06 0.768175 1.448940 2.867201 6.385279 16.217301 47.732494 193.501288
2025-04-13 0.697992 1.342556 2.720410 6.254377 16.590453 51.883903 232.279087
2025-04-20 0.676522 1.335040 2.791306 6.696536 18.843591 64.106378 330.969503
2025-04-27 0.645552 1.302549 2.799112 6.973455 20.695006 76.094680 450.452179
2025-05-04 0.620025 1.278514 2.822792 7.302111 22.870829 91.155909 625.395356
2025-05-11 0.584933 1.228118 2.773635 7.407063 24.299083 103.952894 815.928547
2025-05-18 0.554891 1.185757 2.738293 7.547576 25.941665 119.356618 1081.452064
2025-05-25 0.518023 1.122813 2.640214 7.467941 26.678751 130.528769 1340.993176
2025-06-01 0.493655 1.087436 2.610488 7.607717 28.433169 149.681958 1796.034223
2025-06-08 0.463097 1.033346 2.522113 7.529653 29.199413 163.386673 2242.184983